Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.146240 0.178080 0.212549 0.252341 0.296722 0.344424 0.399299
2025-03-09 0.101160 0.142479 0.191184 0.251591 0.323306 0.404617 0.502673
2025-03-16 0.067027 0.110892 0.167437 0.242607 0.337028 0.449073 0.589477
2025-03-23 0.050504 0.097154 0.162260 0.253899 0.374153 0.521746 0.711817
2025-03-30 0.034986 0.080372 0.149570 0.252895 0.394432 0.573755 0.810532
2025-04-06 0.024269 0.067521 0.139650 0.253509 0.415574 0.626608 0.911155
2025-04-13 0.017573 0.059230 0.134798 0.260022 0.444076 0.689118 1.025048
2025-04-20 0.012954 0.053135 0.132140 0.268904 0.475563 0.755886 1.145487
2025-04-27 0.009306 0.047456 0.128971 0.276188 0.504488 0.819500 1.262752
2025-05-04 0.005863 0.040079 0.121084 0.274707 0.519904 0.864563 1.355967
2025-05-11 0.003891 0.035553 0.117707 0.280003 0.545131 0.923292 1.468017
2025-05-18 0.002142 0.029750 0.110282 0.277306 0.557548 0.963906 1.555951
2025-05-25 0.000744 0.022325 0.097285 0.263419 0.552061 0.979462 1.611109
2025-06-01 0.000313 0.019306 0.094047 0.267086 0.574406 1.035378 1.722564
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.015025 0.085948 0.260296 0.579086 1.065332 1.798273
2025-06-15 0.000013 0.014273 0.087882 0.273662 0.617591 1.145873 1.945844
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011796 0.083526 0.273512 0.633082 1.192244 2.045792
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009834 0.080037 0.274687 0.650637 1.241820 2.150743
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008760 0.079370 0.281865 0.678702 1.307669 2.279564
2025-07-13 NaN 0.008032 0.079790 0.291414 0.711074 1.380445 2.418941
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007214 0.079485 0.299202 0.740437 1.448945 2.552818
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005756 0.075419 0.297706 0.752918 1.491411 2.649425
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005004 0.074391 0.303326 0.778363 1.554292 2.776188